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Stock Commander precon

Dance of the Elements

Ashling, the Limitless

Lorwyn Eclipsed Commander / 23 Jan 2026 / 100 cards

Art by Kai Carpenter, © Wizards of the Coast.

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Read the evidence

How it compares

Sources & method ↗
Experimental

Meta rank

#1277.1 / 100

Real-game percentile 78.3. Simulation percentile 75.9.

84 precons have at least 20 games in real results and each published engine. Higher scores mean stronger ordering across those sources.

50% real-game percentile + 50% mean simulation percentile. This score is an ordering, not a win rate.

Human tables

Real-game win rate

24.1%555 stock games

Playgroup.gg, fetched 20 Oct 2026. Normalised to four players; pilots and opponents differ from the simulation. This is observed evidence, not a personal win-rate forecast.

Phase simulation

Model win rate

30.6%159 games / #33

Published interval coverage: 90% (game bootstrap). Versus 174 stock precons, four-player pods. Analysed 24 Oct 2026.

90% interval: 26.1%–34.8%.

Rank range 17–65. Observed wins: 30.2%.

Upgradeability

Highest supported in-box upgrade grade: 4/5 BroadAshling, the Limitless1/4 commander configurations graded. Unassessed options may be stronger.

4 colour-compatible in-box commander configurations inventoried 2026-10-28. 4 have validated simulation lists. Inventory complete for the checked stock list.

This package includes every inventoried stock-compatible commander configuration. Highest supported upgrade grade describes the named assessed options, not overall deck power or a proven best commander. Unassessed options may be stronger. Outside commander swaps are excluded from the package summary.

Other included legends

These cannot lead the complete unchanged stock pool with a checked configuration: Maelstrom Wanderer, Muldrotha, the Gravetide, Omnath, Locus of Rage, Omnath, Locus of the Roil, Selvala, Heart of the Wilds, Yarok, the Desecrated.

Ashling, the Limitless

Download Ashling, the Limitless comparison list. 100/100 card copies retained. Legality and colours checked 2026-10-28. Any stock results elsewhere on this page belong to the reference catalog snapshot, not to alternative commander lists.

4/5 BroadYama assessment. Moderate changes.

Add Elemental triggers, fixing and ways to recover without Ashling.

Card support
Elemental entries, token copies and creature-type payoffs give several compatible packages.
Commander payoff
Evoke plus the commander’s copy trigger lets one creature provide repeated entry effects.
Restrictions
Five-colour mana and commander dependence remain costs after upgrading.

Limit: The commander is central; repeated removal leaves expensive creatures to cast.

Upgrade examples

Yama's editorial judgment of improvement options for the stated commander configuration while retaining the precon’s main theme. Based on the cited guides, checked card examples and commander restrictions. No upgrade win-rate estimate is available. Audited 2026-10-27. Catalog list.

Commander rules: Ashling, the Limitless.

What 1–5 means
GradeMeaning
1: MinimalIndividual replacements do little for the main plan; its limiting mechanism remains.
2: NarrowUseful replacements exist, but a commander or theme restriction blocks most further gains.
3: WorkableA documented package improves the plan, with a persistent setup, combat or card-pool limit.
4: BroadSeveral compatible packages improve the plan and its finish; important restrictions still apply.
5: ExceptionalThe commander supplies repeatable resources and a direct finish; on-theme additions strengthen both.

These are Yama’s ordinal judgments, with no measured win-rate gain attached. A grade belongs to the stated commander configuration and retained main theme. Assess on-theme commander swaps separately; a replacement strategy is a separate deck build. Missing evidence means ungraded. Targeted changes refine the main package; Moderate replaces several packages; Substantial removes much of the shell. Effort describes work, not a budget or Commander bracket.

Reviews and upgrade guides

Commander results

Playgroup commander results include stock and modified lists, mixed pod sizes and opponents. The raw rate is wins divided by games, not four-player normalised. Partner commanders are separate observations, not a pair's rate. Do not subtract a stock-precon rate to estimate upgrade gain.

Playgroup.gg / Arcane Digital B.V., aggregate statistics under CC BY 4.0. Source refresh dates are not provided by this endpoint.

Other commander options

Each option has its own assessment and comparison list. Stock results elsewhere on this page are not results for these alternative lists.

Horde of Notions: Ungraded

Alternative commander from the box

Download Horde of Notions comparison list. 100/100 card copies retained. Legality and colours checked 2026-10-28. No matched simulation results are attached to this commander option.

Ungraded

Included commander option: leadership and colour compatibility checked. Theme fit and upgrade potential have not been assessed; no grade or simulation result is assigned.

Catalog list.

Commander rules: Horde of Notions.

Reviews and upgrade guides

No review or upgrade guide has been assessed for this list.

Commander results

Jegantha, the Wellspring: Ungraded

Alternative commander from the box

Download Jegantha, the Wellspring comparison list. 100/100 card copies retained. Legality and colours checked 2026-10-28. No matched simulation results are attached to this commander option.

Ungraded

Included commander option: leadership and colour compatibility checked. Theme fit and upgrade potential have not been assessed; no grade or simulation result is assigned.

Catalog list.

Commander rules: Jegantha, the Wellspring.

Reviews and upgrade guides

No review or upgrade guide has been assessed for this list.

Commander results

Mass of Mysteries: Ungraded

Alternative commander from the box

Download Mass of Mysteries comparison list. 100/100 card copies retained. Legality and colours checked 2026-10-28. No matched simulation results are attached to this commander option.

Ungraded

Included commander option: leadership and colour compatibility checked. Theme fit and upgrade potential have not been assessed; no grade or simulation result is assigned.

Catalog list.

Commander rules: Mass of Mysteries.

Reviews and upgrade guides

No review or upgrade guide has been assessed for this list.

Commander results

Market references

What it costs

Sealed deck

$45.65TCGplayer / TCGCSV26 Oct 2026

Singles replacement

$53.71TCGplayer / Scryfall28 Oct 2026

99 priced copies; 1 without a price; total is partial. Market references are not store quotes, proof of availability or resale offers.

Known Phase card support gaps (1)

Jegantha, the Wellspring. Catalog coverage is separate from published run confidence.

The original 100 cards

Stock decklist

Reviews & upgrades on EDHREC ↗

Catalog updated 22 Oct 2026. MTGJSON source. Images and card details from Scryfall.

Commander 1

Main deck 99

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